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if you go by the state of nevada, latino 19%. in the state of virginia only 45% but a growing slice of the population in those growing suburbs that matter and the state of florida. 17%. some of those cubans are more conservative. if the republican party doesn't deal with that issue it risks a very dramatic change in the party. >> we're getting ready to hear the president of the united states deliver his victory speech. he's opinion reelebeen reelected term. we'll have live coverage. we want to see all of what's going on. the excitement there at obama's campaign headquarters. let's go back to anderson. >> historic moment. you'll want to see that live with your families. let's talk about what john king was just mentioning. extraordinary to think about george w. bush getting 44% of the latino vote. what a difference a couple of years make. >> it wasn't because he spoke broken spanish. it was because he tried. he talked in the correct tone. he tried. i would tell you that mitt romney lost this race in the republican primary. he self-
if you go by the state of nevada, latino 19%. in the state of virginia only 45% but a growing slice of the population in those growing suburbs that matter and the state of florida. 17%. some of those cubans are more conservative. if the republican party doesn't deal with that issue it risks a very dramatic change in the party. >> we're getting ready to hear the president of the united states deliver his victory speech. he's opinion reelebeen reelected term. we'll have live coverage. we...
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Nov 7, 2012
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nevada as well. very, very close. the republican incumbent, dean heller is slightly ahead of the democrat, shelley berkley. and this is a surprise, jon tester and denny rehberg were very, very close. >> call. house races as well. >> some very well known names. these are really squeakers. allen west was very well known. 50% to 50% for the democratic challenger. a little more than 2,000 votes separating them with 99% reporting. probably the most well known name when it comes to the tea party, michele bachmann is now neck in neck. fewer than 2,000 votes ahead of her democratic challenger. so this is pretty remarkable. >> with 85% reporting. so we want to talk with some tea party-backed congressmen who lost. and one was in illinois. joe walsh who was on television a lot. he lost to tammy duckworth, the democrat. and dan in new york. he won back his seat and he beat the candidate who beat him last time around. we are seeing some defeats of the tea party wave that we saw two years ago. >> appreciate it. thank you etch. >> l
nevada as well. very, very close. the republican incumbent, dean heller is slightly ahead of the democrat, shelley berkley. and this is a surprise, jon tester and denny rehberg were very, very close. >> call. house races as well. >> some very well known names. these are really squeakers. allen west was very well known. 50% to 50% for the democratic challenger. a little more than 2,000 votes separating them with 99% reporting. probably the most well known name when it comes to the...
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Nov 4, 2012
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points. >> but democrats trail in target states i mentioned but especially virginia, ohio, iowa and nevada. early absentee voting is not where it was for democrats in 2008. >> we had a thing back and forth and every single one of these is a toss up. each one. including pennsylvania. but, tomorrow, mitt romney 8 be in virginia, virginia, ohio, and new hampshire. look at states, and he has virginia, he has to work on ohio, and new hampshire is a toss up. bob: why he is going there? >> he has to win. obama will be in wisconsin, ohio, and iowa, both spending time in ohio. but interesting that obama goes to wisconsin which would indicate he is concerned about wisconsin. if ohio goes to romney, obama has to have wisconsin. >> speaking of ohio, the g.o.p. is 250,000 votes ahead of where they were four years ago in early voting. that is a state that obama won by 260,000 votes so they is wiped out the obama lead. >> i am not a numbers person, i try to pull out of that but i try to look at feeling. certainly, when you look at ohio in 2008, i don't think there is any republican who could have sat her
points. >> but democrats trail in target states i mentioned but especially virginia, ohio, iowa and nevada. early absentee voting is not where it was for democrats in 2008. >> we had a thing back and forth and every single one of these is a toss up. each one. including pennsylvania. but, tomorrow, mitt romney 8 be in virginia, virginia, ohio, and new hampshire. look at states, and he has virginia, he has to work on ohio, and new hampshire is a toss up. bob: why he is going there?...
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so we're also looking at tight races in places like nevada, wisconsin, virginia. we got a handful of really tight races only won by a point or two. >> what about ohio? >> you know, very interesting. the parties have been looking at very different polling between democrat sherrod brown and republican josh mandell. democrats are not worried about sherrod brown. but republicans say we show it much closer. i suspect though, brown pulls it out. >> in the house, in florida particularly, you have some really controversial candidates. one is very outspoken tea party republican allen west and the other is allen grayson, running to return to the house. >> any state that could elect either one is an accepting and forgiving electorate or they can't make up their minds. allen west has actually put up his opponent's mug shot from when he was 19 years old and that's unprecedented. most tea party representatives, no matter how controversial they are, will be re-elected. >> what about harry reid in nevada? we've seen that he has a machine in nevada and can deliver. >> he has spent
so we're also looking at tight races in places like nevada, wisconsin, virginia. we got a handful of really tight races only won by a point or two. >> what about ohio? >> you know, very interesting. the parties have been looking at very different polling between democrat sherrod brown and republican josh mandell. democrats are not worried about sherrod brown. but republicans say we show it much closer. i suspect though, brown pulls it out. >> in the house, in florida...
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president needs to win just three in order to win a second term to get 271 electoral votes and those are nevada where there are six votes, wisconsin where there are ten and here in ohio, there are 18. and winning just those three of all these battle grounds gets you to 271 in a very narrow win, but that's what would do it for him and they feel very good about those three states. >> assuming they hold pennsylvania. >> that's true. that is a big point right there. >> i think there's a sense that florida might be moving in romney's direction. structurally, that's always been the most problematic of the battleground states for obama. and if i were betting, i would bet romney carries florida. >> and we're hearing from the romney side that there's a bit of a head fake there. >> it may be. what a lot of strategists have told me is if you're going to make a play for a state, you need to do it at least three weeks before election day. so one week out, not even a full week, makes it tough. it might be too little too late for mitt romney where they are spending a lot of money at this last minute. but they
president needs to win just three in order to win a second term to get 271 electoral votes and those are nevada where there are six votes, wisconsin where there are ten and here in ohio, there are 18. and winning just those three of all these battle grounds gets you to 271 in a very narrow win, but that's what would do it for him and they feel very good about those three states. >> assuming they hold pennsylvania. >> that's true. that is a big point right there. >> i think...
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i've been in here 23, 24 days, i think we're going to win iowa, wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. it also could be close. but the firewall here of ohio, wisconsin, iowa -- >> talk to your stake holders. tell them what they should do on tuesday. >> if you can vote early, vote earlier. but don't just vote, bring your mom, your dad, bring your cousin, knock on the door of your neighbor. the middle depends on it. >> vice president joe biden, thank you for your time. good luck. >>> north carolina and colorado look pretty tough. coming up, where does the race stand? we have the results of the latest and last poll before the election. that's next. and we have our top people here tonight. chuck todd, howard fineman, eugene robinson and others. the big question is about big bill. if president obama does win re-election tuesday night, the person he can thank the most perhaps probably is the guy he was campaigning with in new hampshire, bill clinton, the big dog could be the one who pulls him over the
i've been in here 23, 24 days, i think we're going to win iowa, wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. it also could be close. but the firewall here of ohio, wisconsin, iowa -- >> talk to your stake holders. tell them what they should do on tuesday. >> if you can vote early, vote earlier. but don't just vote, bring your mom, your dad, bring your cousin, knock on the door of your neighbor. the...
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he could get there with a combination of two small states in the west, nevada and colorado would put him at 272 so he has two distinct paths right now to 270 electoral votes, something that mitt romney does not have right now, matt dowd. >> absolutely true. he can lose ohio, virginia and florida and still win by carrying colorado and nevada and that's the situation. they've been in this situation for weeks and now unfolding tonight just as i say as if the obama campaign had said they thought it would. they said they thought it would unfold this way, preserve the midwest, still win ohio and the biggest county out still only 20% of this county is in, cuyahoga county, only 20% in, that's cleveland and that gave barack obama a margin of 300,000 votes in that one county and that county is still 80% out. >> donna brazile, let's talk about iowa a little bit because that is where we first saw the power of this barack obama ground game. >> i'll never forget that. january 3rd, clinton and by the way we haven't mentioned bill clinton tonight. when i look at this map tonight, pennsylvania, wisco
he could get there with a combination of two small states in the west, nevada and colorado would put him at 272 so he has two distinct paths right now to 270 electoral votes, something that mitt romney does not have right now, matt dowd. >> absolutely true. he can lose ohio, virginia and florida and still win by carrying colorado and nevada and that's the situation. they've been in this situation for weeks and now unfolding tonight just as i say as if the obama campaign had said they...
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were finally counted president obama was re-elected winning ohio, new hampshire, colorado, iowa and nevada. >> tonight in this election you, the american people, reminded us that while our world has been hard, while our journey has been long, we have picked ourselves up. we have fought our way back. and we know in our hearts that for the united states of america the best is yet to come. >> david webb founder or of key part 355 and a write for the "new york daily news" and a political analyst and a professor of sociology at georgetown university and a prolific author. thank you all for being here. this has been an amazing week and a historic week. president obama was re-elected president of the united states. david, tough week for you? >> no, not really. look, it's not. look, our system has worked. americans have spoken out. they've made their choice for the president. that's a peaceful transfer of power, something we do better than any other country in the world. now it comes down to the policy. we're saying mark you've known me a long time. it's what are the policies that are going to fix
were finally counted president obama was re-elected winning ohio, new hampshire, colorado, iowa and nevada. >> tonight in this election you, the american people, reminded us that while our world has been hard, while our journey has been long, we have picked ourselves up. we have fought our way back. and we know in our hearts that for the united states of america the best is yet to come. >> david webb founder or of key part 355 and a write for the "new york daily news" and...
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he's not going back to nevada. he's not going back to iowa. and he's not going to pennsylvania again. which is significant because the obama campaign in the end didn't take the bait on pennsylvania. they are sending bill clinton to pennsylvania, to philadelphia, tomorrow, but they're not sending the president there. >> what hasn't bill clinton done for barack obama? >> well, he was obama's great explainer. he was like the obama whisperer at the democratic convention in charlotte. he's been a campaigner. and he's been a good friend and increasingly somebody that the president relies on. if the president wins re-election, i'm convinced bill clinton's next job will be to help the president sell a budget deal to democrats who may not want to go along. that's almost a tougher job than getting the president re-elected. >> are you worried about the voter suppression that is taking place in ohio? it seems to be much more intense in ohio. much more organized, county to county, it looks like they have really done a job. the numbers are down. for instanc
he's not going back to nevada. he's not going back to iowa. and he's not going to pennsylvania again. which is significant because the obama campaign in the end didn't take the bait on pennsylvania. they are sending bill clinton to pennsylvania, to philadelphia, tomorrow, but they're not sending the president there. >> what hasn't bill clinton done for barack obama? >> well, he was obama's great explainer. he was like the obama whisperer at the democratic convention in charlotte....
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there's dean berkeley in nevada. it will be interee the obama orgs can drag sh that state.eople exceed before in nevada.e the big takeaway from tonight in watching the senate is these are different lek electorates showing up i the elected barack backlash against barack obama that gave us the tea party and gavethe control of the bú stos i e leku@ torts show up in younger, less white,liberal. not reelected.hey're running the table or having a ry good night. also at the level in terms of ballot initiatives, in terms equality, is a different e that shoeç up in presidenttions. the big question for building a democraticbama and a leader democratic party is can you years? because then you're looking at>l something that looks like a really stable powerful permanent governing coalitipoliticians. >> chris hayes, thank you very smart and structural point in terms of thinkin about how we decisions. we'r process of decisions. todd joining us with the g mitch mcconnell's motivation.cop for re-election in 2014. he i in aolitical
there's dean berkeley in nevada. it will be interee the obama orgs can drag sh that state.eople exceed before in nevada.e the big takeaway from tonight in watching the senate is these are different lek electorates showing up i the elected barack backlash against barack obama that gave us the tea party and gavethe control of the bú stos i e leku@ torts show up in younger, less white,liberal. not reelected.hey're running the table or having a ry good night. also at the level in terms of ballot...
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Nov 13, 2012
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the clerk: the senator from nevada, mr. reid, for mr. tester, proposes amendment numbered 2875. mr. reid: i ask for the yeas and nays. the presiding officer: is there a sufficient second? there appears to be. the yeas and nays are ordered. mr. reid: i now ask a first-degree amendment at the desk. the presiding officer: the clerk will report. the clerk: the senator from nevada, mr. reid, proposes amendment numbered 2876 to amendment numbered 2875. mr. reid: i ask for the yeas and nays on that amendment. the presiding officer: is there a sufficient second? there appears to be. the yeas and nays are ordered. mr. reid: i have a second-degree amendment at the desk. the presiding officer: the clerk will report. the clerk: the senator from nevada, mr. reid, proposes an amendment numbered 2877 to amendment numbered 2876. mr. reid: i have an amendment at the desk to the language that is proposed to be stricken. the presiding officer: the clerk will report. the clerk: the senator from nevada, mr. reid, proposes amendment numbered 287
the clerk: the senator from nevada, mr. reid, for mr. tester, proposes amendment numbered 2875. mr. reid: i ask for the yeas and nays. the presiding officer: is there a sufficient second? there appears to be. the yeas and nays are ordered. mr. reid: i now ask a first-degree amendment at the desk. the presiding officer: the clerk will report. the clerk: the senator from nevada, mr. reid, proposes amendment numbered 2876 to amendment numbered 2875. mr. reid: i ask for the yeas and nays on that...
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nevada's going to go for -- i mean -- >> you think it's over? you think it's done? >> i think it's over. and what i'm trying to say is there's a clash of principles in this country. a f very fierce clash. okay? i happen to be on the supply side of that clash. free market. look, can you find common ground? in other words, you can have leadership. doesn't mean you have to give up your principles. can you find common ground? and i think what john harwood said is a good point. it is true two summers ago that they were close. they were close. whether that's the promiseland remains to be seen. something has to give otherwise the economy is going to hell again and the country will go bankrupt. >> larry, there's a -- >> the country will go bankrupt? >> the country will go bankrupt. if we can't solve this stuff with entitlements and the debt ceiling, the country will go bankrupt. >> very large bipartisan group in the senate that is willing to come together. the question is, is the house ready to play that? >> let me bring in a couple new voices to the mix. we have catherine
nevada's going to go for -- i mean -- >> you think it's over? you think it's done? >> i think it's over. and what i'm trying to say is there's a clash of principles in this country. a f very fierce clash. okay? i happen to be on the supply side of that clash. free market. look, can you find common ground? in other words, you can have leadership. doesn't mean you have to give up your principles. can you find common ground? and i think what john harwood said is a good point. it is...
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>> both colorado and nevada are early voting states. 80% of registered voters are vote. 56%, nevada. the gop is battling harry reid's political machine. a growing population has a voting edge of -- voting edge of 90,000. despite obama's 2-point statewide lead they can make it up in reno and democratic turnout, early voting is down 5 points over 2008. martha: thanks, william. bill: we heard for several years that the economy is issue number one for you at home. if that's the case, how does this race break today? fair and balanced debate on that in a moment. martha: a handful of swing states that will likely determine the outcome of this election. which states fall into that category and why? bill: the race seems to be tightening by the day. why does one political analyst predict a landslide. >> you watched what happened in this country the last four years with an interview. you hope that president obama would live up with his promise to bring people together, to solve the big problems. he hasn't. i will. [cheers and applause] but don't just listen to me. listen to these happy progress
>> both colorado and nevada are early voting states. 80% of registered voters are vote. 56%, nevada. the gop is battling harry reid's political machine. a growing population has a voting edge of -- voting edge of 90,000. despite obama's 2-point statewide lead they can make it up in reno and democratic turnout, early voting is down 5 points over 2008. martha: thanks, william. bill: we heard for several years that the economy is issue number one for you at home. if that's the case, how does...
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one race where that may be is nevada. dean heller is facing democratic representative shelly berkeley. dan springer is live at the heller elects -- heller election headquarters in las vegas. what do we know at this hour? >> jaime, it is empty here because the republicans all wept home. went home. this was supposed to be a battle ground state. it didn't turn out that way. president obama carried nevada by over 6%. a lot of people split their vote today. we jus word that dean heller who is the republican who was running for the senate has won his race against shelly berkeley. this was his first try for the senate because he was the incumbent that was appointed when john enson had to resign in disgrace from a sex scandal. heller retains his seat. he wins his first election. this was not supposed to be as close as it was. it was only a point and a half separating the two, about 12,000 votes. but it was very close because as you just mentioned we saw a huge minority population, a huge young people vote here. hispanics came out
one race where that may be is nevada. dean heller is facing democratic representative shelly berkeley. dan springer is live at the heller elects -- heller election headquarters in las vegas. what do we know at this hour? >> jaime, it is empty here because the republicans all wept home. went home. this was supposed to be a battle ground state. it didn't turn out that way. president obama carried nevada by over 6%. a lot of people split their vote today. we jus word that dean heller who is...
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>> >> you will have some of the rich people leave the state of california making good texas, nevada, florida, this is the end of california as reno air. -- as we know it. it will get worse. >> 50% with favor taxes on the wealthy. you are crying in the wilderness. >> republicans need to stick to principal keep paying tax rates low is good for the economy. democrats want to raise taxes. gerri: we have so far to go. please be with us every step of the way. >> classmate-- last night was not a party. [laughter] gerri: it was fascinating. meet interesting people meeting carlos gutierrez. >> it must of been like a wake. gerri: it was pretty quiet. how wall street reacts to obama and the threat and nor'easter at a misery after superstar sandy. what is being done or what is not being done more specifically? [ abdul-rashid ] i've been working since i was about 16. you know, one job or the other. the moment i could access the retirement plan, i just became firm about it -- you know, it's like it just hits you fast. you know, you start thinking about what's really important here. ♪ gerri: peop
>> >> you will have some of the rich people leave the state of california making good texas, nevada, florida, this is the end of california as reno air. -- as we know it. it will get worse. >> 50% with favor taxes on the wealthy. you are crying in the wilderness. >> republicans need to stick to principal keep paying tax rates low is good for the economy. democrats want to raise taxes. gerri: we have so far to go. please be with us every step of the way. >>...
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president obama held on in nevada. why? for years no primary challenge. remember, they spent money, they identified, they turned out all the latino voters. colorado, suburban voters, latino voters. the president held onto that one. you were impressed by it, they outhustled governor romney. they held onto iowa, a state governor romney was so confident they were going to get. the republican governor put registration at parody. the republicans thought they could get it. they got outhustled again. wisconsin, the paul ryan pick was not enough. state blue dna. >> scott walker won would have a shot. >> one lesson we learn second-degree that mid-term elections are not presidential elections. obama people said african-american turnout will come back and it did. latino would come back, and it did. this is what you end up with. all of the states i turned blue were states at one point or another the romney campaign felt comfortable and a few felt very comfortable about. president obama outhustled them and ran the board. the luxury of no primary, all that spending on
president obama held on in nevada. why? for years no primary challenge. remember, they spent money, they identified, they turned out all the latino voters. colorado, suburban voters, latino voters. the president held onto that one. you were impressed by it, they outhustled governor romney. they held onto iowa, a state governor romney was so confident they were going to get. the republican governor put registration at parody. the republicans thought they could get it. they got outhustled again....
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i might pop over to nevada or move; right? is there a threat? >> well, i think that's a good point. i believe some people will move. others come back, and i think what jerry brown was able to community kate, and, again, deserves all credit for this because they said the initiative was dead and buried a month ago, but convinced people that the path to a better life an path to better jobs was to invest in education, and we just cut, cut, and cut for decades. that does not open the door to wholesale tax increases. neil: i think they hope you are right, on the right and the left. the tax hike propositions is they are submitted before serious cuts were done, things had been cut, but not to the degree they should, and that bothered them, that this now gives those who want to cut spending again halts that with a license again. >> i think there's some truth to that, but keep in mind, when the governor took office, he had a $26 billion deficit, cut that down to $16 billion, a couple more cuts, and $6 billion worth of revenue, not back where we were four or five years ago, but 95% or 97%, but
i might pop over to nevada or move; right? is there a threat? >> well, i think that's a good point. i believe some people will move. others come back, and i think what jerry brown was able to community kate, and, again, deserves all credit for this because they said the initiative was dead and buried a month ago, but convinced people that the path to a better life an path to better jobs was to invest in education, and we just cut, cut, and cut for decades. that does not open the door to...
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i've been in here 23, 24 days, we're going to win iowa, wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. don't just vote. bring your mom, your dad, cousin, knock on the door of your neighbor. let me tell you something, the middle class depends on it. >> joining me from the battleground state of ohio is our own national treasure, chris matthews. it's always great to see you. congratulations on the interviews. how much of that confidence is genuine and how much is spin in the homestretch? >> he felt confident when i talked to him off camera. of course, north carolina, new hampshire and colorado are up in the air. he said virginia and florida would be tough, as well. did you notice the discordance on the right wing of getting along with the other side? on the one hand, the romney is saying we should get along with the other side saying he could work with a republican congress. of course he can, he's a republican. then you have rupert murdoch trashing the governor of new jersey for the same thing, wor
i've been in here 23, 24 days, we're going to win iowa, wisconsin, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. don't just vote. bring your mom, your dad, cousin, knock on the door of your neighbor. let me tell you something, the middle class depends on it. >> joining me from the battleground state of ohio is our own national treasure, chris matthews. it's always great to see you. congratulations on the interviews. how...
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nevada used to be a swing state. 71% again in the state of nevada. one of the key battlegrounds. let me give you one more example. colorado. once a red state, now a purple state. latino vote, double digits and 75%. 75%. let's look over here. president wins nevada. once a swing state. wins colorado. wins new mexico. this used to be one of the classic swing states in american politics. don't even think about it anymore, right? and he's probably going to win florida. why do i circle those? i'm going to slide this little barrier. the darker the colors, the higher the latino population. nevada, colorado, new mexico, florida, you can find other places as well up into the midwest. the republicans don't solve this problem. this is a crisis for the republican party. >> it certainly is. we're going to talk more about texas in a bit because i see that orange there. what about women? i know this war on women fight, a lot of people wondered whether it would be effective, but when it actually happened -- >> in a word, yes. >> romney did not make up that gap again. >> play the exit polls. natio
nevada used to be a swing state. 71% again in the state of nevada. one of the key battlegrounds. let me give you one more example. colorado. once a red state, now a purple state. latino vote, double digits and 75%. 75%. let's look over here. president wins nevada. once a swing state. wins colorado. wins new mexico. this used to be one of the classic swing states in american politics. don't even think about it anymore, right? and he's probably going to win florida. why do i circle those? i'm...
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nevada, we project that the president will win in nevada. will carry six electoral votes. 63% of vote is in. the president has a significant 54- 54-44-point lead. he now has 280 electoral votes. he needed 270. he is building building up another cushion. waiting for florida, virginia, colorado. >> yes, and alaska. let's assume alaska stays to republican dna. >> close at 1:00 a.m. >> i'll make you some scrambled eggs. at the moment, the president is leading in colorado, the president has a narrow lead in virginia, and the president has a narrow lead in florida. the president could get up above 3:30. 356 electoral votes when he beat john mccain four years ago. light states are called at home. what is the final map, what are the takeaways. taken away north carolina. the president won last time. governor romney taken away indiana, and the president won last time. if this is how we end up, republicans will be profoundly disappointed, not only in losing when you have no president since franklin roosevelt won with an unemployment rate above 7.1%. pr
nevada, we project that the president will win in nevada. will carry six electoral votes. 63% of vote is in. the president has a significant 54- 54-44-point lead. he now has 280 electoral votes. he needed 270. he is building building up another cushion. waiting for florida, virginia, colorado. >> yes, and alaska. let's assume alaska stays to republican dna. >> close at 1:00 a.m. >> i'll make you some scrambled eggs. at the moment, the president is leading in colorado, the...
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Nov 11, 2012
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bush did so well in, colorado, iowas, your nevadas new mexico. romney did didn't play out there. >> to give you a sense of the magnitude, 8% of the hispanics in 2008 and 10% this year and romney's share went from, republican share went to 27 from 31. >> and the romney campaign thought they needed 37% of that hispanic vote for the numbers to win and they got 27%, the arithmetic on the latino vote is just brutal and obvious, they have to do something about that. >> paul: quickly? >> i want today make one more point about the type of campaign at that romney ran. focused on the economy and wanted to make the obama economy, but he woke up wednesday morning and probably saw an exit poll figure that had him devastated for people, 50% of the electorate still thought this economy was george w. bush's fault. it's astonishing. >> it's astonishing. >> and one of the failures, not making a distinction in the campaign, the theme explanation why he would be different than george w. bush. when we come back, the soul searching begins as republicans face another f
bush did so well in, colorado, iowas, your nevadas new mexico. romney did didn't play out there. >> to give you a sense of the magnitude, 8% of the hispanics in 2008 and 10% this year and romney's share went from, republican share went to 27 from 31. >> and the romney campaign thought they needed 37% of that hispanic vote for the numbers to win and they got 27%, the arithmetic on the latino vote is just brutal and obvious, they have to do something about that. >> paul:...
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Nov 6, 2012
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iowand nevada have been put away. i don't think new hampshire and wisconsin have. but i think that's reflect in that poll. the second that's occurred is every single poll i've seen shows more optimism about the economy than there was a month ago. not people aren't off the charts mind you, but a third of the people think the economy is in good shape. another 20% think it's getting in better shape and those are better numbers than the summer. >> rose: let me ask about florida, john harris, and pennsylvania. >> it looks like florida is most likely in romney's camp. not certain. it seems to me that if obama wins florida he's going to win a bunch of other states and we'll have a map that looks more like 2008 than we've been thinking this last month or so where hi would win most of the state he is won in 2008 minus north carolina and indiana. that's an early night for us all. althoughs pennsylvania better than i do. i don't think it's been awe thenltally in play. i think there was a series of head fakes going on but that's never been a central battground. >> rose: mark?
iowand nevada have been put away. i don't think new hampshire and wisconsin have. but i think that's reflect in that poll. the second that's occurred is every single poll i've seen shows more optimism about the economy than there was a month ago. not people aren't off the charts mind you, but a third of the people think the economy is in good shape. another 20% think it's getting in better shape and those are better numbers than the summer. >> rose: let me ask about florida, john harris,...
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Nov 4, 2012
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. >> nevada. >> nevada. close but to dean heller. >> all right. next one? >> ohio. it's closed up but brown wins. >> does he outperform the president by what, two points? >> i don't know. >> yeah, yeah. >> if you were to guess, it's going to be a tight race? >> florida, nelson beats mak. then we get to virginia. >> where are you there? >> i guess i would give kane maybe a tiny finger on the scale. >> give it to blue? >> i don't know. >> we'll put it there for now. that gets us through the presidential toss-ups. let's go to the red states if you will. these are a ton of great states. >> flake wins. >> montana, that's scary. everybody, both sides say it's really too close. >> the libertarian candidate is going to make the winning number. >> it could. >> i guess he gets a couple. this guy john tester up a point or two and the question is does that save him? let's do edge tester. >> all right. next one? north dakota right next door. >> berg wins. it's very very close. >> the same way you feel about montana. >> yeah. >> not quite as close. >> yeah. >> let's stick in the
. >> nevada. >> nevada. close but to dean heller. >> all right. next one? >> ohio. it's closed up but brown wins. >> does he outperform the president by what, two points? >> i don't know. >> yeah, yeah. >> if you were to guess, it's going to be a tight race? >> florida, nelson beats mak. then we get to virginia. >> where are you there? >> i guess i would give kane maybe a tiny finger on the scale. >> give it to blue?...